Poll shows Democrats gaining ground among Latino, young and white voters

National survey includes more than 79,000 voters, with a 0.6-point margin of error

The voting coalition that had elected Donald Trump to the White House shifted in the 2026 midterms, according to The Wall Street Journal’s analysis of a national Voter Poll by SSRS survey. Independents and Latino voters, particularly Latino women, moved toward Democratic candidates, while Democrats also improved among young voters and white voters.

The national survey of more than 79,000 voters who participated in the midterms found that Latino women chose the Democratic candidate for Congress by a 36-percentage-point margin, compared with 21 points in 2024.

Latino voters were particularly important in Texas, where they made up 25% of the voter pool. Trump won Latino voters by 1 percentage point in 2024, while Democrat James Talarico won them by 34 points in his successful Senate campaign in 2026.

Democrats also drew a significantly higher share of young voters in 2026 than two years earlier, gaining 20 points among those ages 18 to 29.

Democrats also made further inroads with white voters. Their previously thin margins among college-educated whites extended to an almost 20-point margin. Non-college whites remained Republican-leaning, though their Republican share slipped.

The shift among non-college white voters was important in states such as Ohio, where they make up half of the electorate. These voters had backed Trump by 35 percentage points in 2024. In 2026, the GOP candidate for Senate carried them by only 17 points in a losing race.

The findings came from Voter Poll by SSRS, which was conducted on behalf of seven major news organizations. The poll interviewed about 100,000 registered voters between Oct. 19 and Nov. 3 and produced a national sample of more than 79,000 and state-level samples for all 50 states.

Interviews were conducted at voting locations, online and by telephone. The overall margin of sampling error for voters was expected to be plus or minus 0.6 percentage points nationally and varies by state.

Taken together, the results describe movement across several groups: independents, Latino voters and Latino women moved away from Trump and his party, while Democrats gained among young voters and white voters. The coalition shift delivered Democrats control of the House and Senate on Tuesday, two years after the coalition had elected Trump to the White House.